Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 16, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Farense0 - 1Porto
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Farense 0-2 Nacional
Sunday, February 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, February 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
13
We said: SC Farense 1-2 Porto
Farense may be in a relegation fight, but they will be facing a Porto side that have struggled to take maximum points lately. That being said, the hosts' lack of attacking threat means that if the visitors score more than once then the game could well be beyond them, so expect Anselmi's team to pick up all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.71%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 8.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.39%) and 0-3 (10.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Porto |
8.47% ( -0.14) | 15.82% ( -0.11) | 75.71% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 43.82% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
