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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 16, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Porto

Farense
0 - 1
Porto


Falcao (47'), Jorge (59'), Moreno Ojeda (63'), Njie (64')
Carlos (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Moura (48')
Perez (69'), Mario (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 0-2 Nacional
Sunday, February 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 1-1 Roma
Thursday, February 13 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: SC Farense 1-2 Porto

 Farense may be in a relegation fight, but they will be facing a Porto side that have struggled to take maximum points lately. That being said, the hosts' lack of attacking threat means that if the visitors score more than once then the game could well be beyond them, so expect Anselmi's team to pick up all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.71%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 8.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.39%) and 0-3 (10.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawPorto
8.47% (-0.139 -0.14) 15.82% (-0.112 -0.11) 75.71% (0.253 0.25)
Both teams to score 43.82% (-0.246 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.56% (0.030000000000001 0.03)41.44% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.16% (0.030000000000001 0.03)63.84% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.29% (-0.306 -0.31)51.71% (0.308 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.19% (-0.201 -0.2)85.81% (0.203 0.2)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.74% (0.067999999999998 0.07)9.26% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.71% (0.15899999999999 0.16)31.29% (-0.156 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 8.47%
    Porto 75.7%
    Draw 15.82%
SC FarenseDrawPorto
1-0 @ 3.16% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-1 @ 2.48% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-0 @ 1.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 8.47%
1-1 @ 7.51% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.95% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 15.82%
0-2 @ 13.55% (0.07 0.07)
0-1 @ 11.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 10.75% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 7.09% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-4 @ 6.4% (0.069 0.07)
1-4 @ 4.22% (0.008 0.01)
0-5 @ 3.04% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-5 @ 2.01% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-6 @ 1.21% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 75.7%

How you voted: Farense vs Porto

SC Farense
4.2%
Draw
8.3%
Porto
87.5%
24
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 5
Porto
2-1
Farense
Galeno (48' pen.), Omorodion (75')
Galeno (89'), Neto (90+5')
Tomane (51')
Jorge (45+1'), Silva (82'), Gonzalez (90+5')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 19
Farense
1-3
Porto
Duarte (59' pen.)
Silva (25')
Evanilson (35', 76'), Varela (41')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 2
Porto
2-1
Farense
Martinez (13'), Marcano (90+10')
Pepe (45+5'), Marcano (90+2')
Costa (45+1')
Falcao (61'), Pastor (74'), Matias (78')
> Preview
May 10, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 32
Porto
5-1
Farense
Taremi (6' pen., 59'), Martinez (14'), Diaz (20'), Mario Neto Lopes (84')
Mbemba (13'), Grujic (25'), Leite (72'), Mario Neto Lopes (81')
Lica (89')
Scheid (1'), Tavares (6'), Lucca (6'), Cesar (82')
Aouacheria (30')
> Preview
Jan 25, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 15
Farense
0-1
Porto

Nunes (89')
Taremi (15')
Otavio (88')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon26195270234762
2Benfica25192459203959
3Porto26165551203153
4Braga26165542222053
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2613492725243
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes26101153627941
7Casa Pia26106103235-336
8Estoril PraiaEstoril269983441-736
9FamalicaoFamalicao2681082929034
10MoreirenseMoreirense2687113137-631
11Nacional2685132636-1029
12Rio AveRio Ave2678112943-1429
13AroucaArouca2678112539-1429
14Gil Vicente2558122437-1323
15Estrela Amadora2658132138-1723
16AVS26411112037-1723
17SC FarenseFarense2638151737-2017
18BoavistaBoavista2636171643-2715
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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