Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 35.27%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.04%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Tondela win was 1-0 (12.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result | ||
Tondela | Draw | Gil Vicente |
34.48% | 30.24% | 35.27% |
Both teams to score 41.5% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.14% | 65.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.51% | 84.49% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.15% | 35.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.37% | 72.63% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.69% | 35.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.93% | 72.06% |
Score Analysis |
Tondela | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 12.98% 2-1 @ 6.93% 2-0 @ 6.66% 3-1 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.02% Total : 34.48% | 1-1 @ 13.51% 0-0 @ 12.65% 2-2 @ 3.61% Other @ 0.46% Total : 30.23% | 0-1 @ 13.17% 1-2 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 6.86% 1-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.12% Total : 35.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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