Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Tondela win was 1-0 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.
Result | ||
Tondela | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
34.89% | 27.75% | 37.36% |
Both teams to score 48.5% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.65% | 57.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.82% | 78.17% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.88% | 31.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.55% | 67.45% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.42% | 29.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.39% | 65.61% |
Score Analysis |
Tondela | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 6.27% 3-1 @ 2.97% 3-0 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 1.81% Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.88% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.2% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.74% | 0-1 @ 11.21% 1-2 @ 7.97% 0-2 @ 6.83% 1-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.46% Total : 37.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |