Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 19, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Braga2 - 0Arouca
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Braga 0-4 Fiorentina
Thursday, February 16 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, February 16 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Braga 2-0 Arouca
While Braga have flattered to deceive in Europe, back home they have enjoyed a solid campaign and are currently seated in the upper echelons of the table. Jorge's side have won seven of their last eight Primeira Liga matches and we are backing them to comfortably see off an Arouca side who have struggled for results away from home. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 14.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Braga in this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Arouca |
64.68% ( 0.39) | 20.58% ( -0.16) | 14.75% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 48.91% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
