Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 51.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 23.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-0 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.