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Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 9, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
Maes Tegid
Queen's Park

Bala Town
0 - 3
Queen's Park


Peate (59')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Turner (20'), Hepburn (44'), Paton (90+5')
Spong (16'), Hepburn (88'), Longridge (89')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Bala Town and Queen's Park.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bala Town

All competitions
Last Game: Bala Town 2-1 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Queen's Park

All competitions
Last Game: Raith Rovers 3-2 Queen's Park
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 55.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Queen's Park had a probability of 22.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Queen's Park win it was 1-2 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Bala TownDrawQueen's Park
55.45% (0.17899999999999 0.18) 22.33% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 22.22% (-0.122 -0.12)
Both teams to score 57.26% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.04% (0.107 0.11)41.97% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.63% (0.108 0.11)64.37% (-0.107 -0.11)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.98% (0.097000000000008 0.1)15.02% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.5% (0.182 0.18)43.51% (-0.181 -0.18)
Queen's Park Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.39% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)32.62% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.84% (-0.055 -0.05)69.16% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 55.45%
    Queen's Park 22.22%
    Draw 22.32%
Bala TownDrawQueen's Park
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.8% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.23% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.56% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.49% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.95% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.64% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 1% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 55.45%
1-1 @ 10.4% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.32%
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.49% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.08% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 22.22%

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