Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.