Morton

2 - 1

Elgin

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 65.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 14.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Elgin City win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.