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Scottish League Two | Gameweek 3
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ainslie Park Stadium
Elgin City

Spartans
2 - 1
Elgin

Craigen (61'), Armstrong (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dingwall (77')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Spartans and Elgin City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spartans

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last Game: Dumbarton 1-1 Spartans
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Elgin City

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last Game: Elgin 0-0 Forfar (2-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 51.66%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartans would win this match.

Result
SpartansDrawElgin City
51.66% (-0.264 -0.26) 24.12% (0.614 0.61) 24.21% (-0.349 -0.35)
Both teams to score 53.76% (-2.389 -2.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.24% (-2.98 -2.98)47.76% (2.979 2.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.05% (-2.81 -2.81)69.95% (2.81 2.81)
Spartans Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52% (-1.218 -1.22)18.48% (1.218 1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.32% (-2.095 -2.1)49.68% (2.096 2.1)
Elgin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.95% (-1.917 -1.92)34.05% (1.918 1.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.27% (-2.121 -2.12)70.73% (2.122 2.12)
Score Analysis
    Spartans 51.66%
    Elgin City 24.21%
    Draw 24.12%
SpartansDrawElgin City
1-0 @ 10.62% (0.877 0.88)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.97% (0.412 0.41)
3-1 @ 5.44% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.3 -0.3)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.203 -0.2)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.182 -0.18)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 51.66%
1-1 @ 11.44% (0.38 0.38)
0-0 @ 6.29% (0.745 0.75)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.31 -0.31)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.17 -0.17)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.12%
0-1 @ 6.78% (0.482 0.48)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.65% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.217 -0.22)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 24.21%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Elgin CityElgin137512013726
2PeterheadPeterhead137331913624
3East FifeEast Fife1372427141323
4Stirling AlbionStirling136161619-319
5Edinburgh CityEdinburgh135351920-118
6Spartans134451513216
7Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticBonnyrigg Rose136251717014
8StranraerStranraer133371117-612
9Clyde132651320-712
10Forfar AthleticForfar13238819-119
> Scottish League Two Full Table


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