Russian Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 5, 2023 at 6pm UK
VEB Arena
CSKA4 - 1Lokomotiv
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between CSKA Moscow and Lokomotiv Moscow.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 2-3 CSKA
Sunday, July 30 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Sunday, July 30 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Fakel 1-4 Lokomotiv
Sunday, July 30 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Sunday, July 30 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 53.6%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 23.38% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
53.6% ( -0.44) | 23.01% ( -0.33) | 23.38% ( 0.76) |
| Both teams to score 56.45% ( 2.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
