Russian Premier League | Gameweek 2
Jul 30, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
Fakel1 - 4Lokomotiv
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Fakel and Lokomotiv Moscow.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rostov 2-1 Fakel
Sunday, July 23 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Sunday, July 23 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Lokomotiv 2-2 Rubin Kazan
Saturday, July 22 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Saturday, July 22 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Fakel win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fakel | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
29.43% ( 0.02) | 26.11% ( 0.04) | 44.46% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.78% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
