Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 79.41%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for FC Tambov had a probability of 6.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12%) and 0-1 (11.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.64%), while for a FC Tambov win it was 1-0 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.