Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Airdrieonians |
26.03% ( -0.96) | 24.47% ( -0.24) | 49.5% ( 1.2) |
Both teams to score 54.48% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.31% ( 0.3) | 47.69% ( -0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.12% ( 0.28) | 69.89% ( -0.28) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.51% ( -0.6) | 32.5% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.98% ( -0.68) | 69.02% ( 0.68) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.7% ( 0.61) | 19.3% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.95% ( 1) | 51.06% ( -0.99) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Airdrieonians |
1-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.56% Total : 26.03% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 5.23% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.07% Total : 49.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
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