Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 81.54%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 6.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.79%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.9%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.