Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 49.41%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Raith Rovers |
25.71% ( 0.06) | 24.87% ( 0.03) | 49.41% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 52.91% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.38% ( -0.07) | 49.61% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.36% ( -0.06) | 71.63% ( 0.06) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.22% ( 0.01) | 33.78% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.56% ( 0.01) | 70.44% ( -0.01) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.9% ( -0.06) | 20.1% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.65% ( -0.1) | 52.34% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Raith Rovers |
1-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.32% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.86% 3-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 25.71% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.07% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 49.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 18 |
2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 15 |
3 | Livingston | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 14 |
4 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
5 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
6 | Partick ThistlePartick | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 4 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |