Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 49.23%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 2-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.