MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 18:37:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 35
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
Raith Rovers

Ayr
1 - 0
Raith Rovers

Musonda (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dick (54'), McGill (68')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Raith Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ayr 0-0 Queen's Park
Friday, April 21 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 1-0 Raith Rovers
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 56.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 20.49%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawRaith Rovers
56.24% (0.126 0.13) 23.27% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 20.49% (-0.108 -0.11)
Both teams to score 51.62% (-0.113 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.77% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)48.23% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.62% (-0.061 -0.06)70.38% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.04% (0.019000000000005 0.02)16.96% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.95% (0.036999999999999 0.04)47.05% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.16% (-0.149 -0.15)37.84% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.39% (-0.146 -0.15)74.61% (0.146 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 56.23%
    Raith Rovers 20.49%
    Draw 23.27%
Ayr UnitedDrawRaith Rovers
1-0 @ 11.38% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.1% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.82%
3-0 @ 5.97% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.81% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.65% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.0059999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 56.23%
1-1 @ 11.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.42% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.27%
0-1 @ 6.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.38% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 20.49%

Head to Head
Feb 24, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 26
Raith Rovers
0-0
Ayr

Stanton (39'), Spencer (73')

McAlear (37')
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 17
Ayr
2-0
Raith Rovers
Mullin (31', 70')
Chalmers (68')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
gameweek 8
Raith Rovers
3-2
Ayr
Connell (8'), Stanton (35'), Brown (83')
Connell (39')
Young (51'), Murdoch (69')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
gameweek 28
Raith Rovers
0-4
Ayr
Adeloye (3'), Maxwell (32', 38'), Ashford (65')
Maxwell (39')
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
gameweek 19
Ayr
2-0
Raith Rovers
Adeloye (22'), McKenzie (76')
Houston (12'), Chalmers (69')

Matthews (79'), Lang (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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