Scottish Cup | Third Round
Apr 3, 2021 at 3pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Dundee0 - 1St Johnstone
Reaction
Callum Booth praises St Johnstone's defence
Guy Melamed's well-taken goal in the 20th minute ultimately sent the Betfred Cup winners through.
Apr 4, 11:53
James McPake claims officials "guessed" disallowed Dundee goal
St Johnstone progressed in the Scottish Cup with a 1-0 victory.
Apr 3, 18:22
The Match
Match Report
Zander Clark saved the spot-kick as a goal from Guy Melamed earned the visitors a 1-0 win.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for St Johnstone in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 34.96% | 25.95% | 39.09% |
| Both teams to score 54.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
