Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.