Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.