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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 12
Jan 30, 2021 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle
Dunfermline Athletic

Hearts
1 - 0
Dunfermline

Walker (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

McManus (64')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Hearts and Dunfermline Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 60.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 18.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawDunfermline Athletic
60.38%21.09%18.52%
Both teams to score 55.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.48%41.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.08%63.91%
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.67%13.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.8%40.19%
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.98%36.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.2%72.8%
Score Analysis
    Hearts 60.38%
    Dunfermline Athletic 18.52%
    Draw 21.09%
HeartsDrawDunfermline Athletic
2-1 @ 9.96%
2-0 @ 9.75%
1-0 @ 9.68%
3-1 @ 6.69%
3-0 @ 6.55%
3-2 @ 3.41%
4-1 @ 3.37%
4-0 @ 3.3%
4-2 @ 1.72%
5-1 @ 1.36%
5-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 60.38%
1-1 @ 9.88%
2-2 @ 5.08%
0-0 @ 4.8%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.09%
1-2 @ 5.05%
0-1 @ 4.9%
0-2 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 1.73%
1-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 18.52%

Head to Head
Nov 20, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Dunfermline
2-1
Hearts
Thomas (49'), Murray (54')
Whittaker (56'), Fon Williams (78'), Edwards (83'), Dow (90+5')
Kingsley (84')
Halliday (57'), Walker (59'), Halkett (73'), Naismith (90+3')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Second Round
Dunfermline
0-1
Hearts
Lee (79')
Souttar (67')
Jul 29, 2017 3pm
Group stage
Hearts
2-2
Dunfermline
Dunfermline win 3-1 on penalties
Cowie (20'), Goncalves (86')
Cardle (28'), McManus (52')
Wedderburn (55'), Lochhead (86')
rhs 2.0
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