Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Raith Rovers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
44.13% ( -0.18) | 24.26% ( 0.05) | 31.61% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 59.04% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.58% ( -0.2) | 43.42% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.18% ( -0.2) | 65.82% ( 0.19) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.15% ( -0.16) | 19.85% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.06% ( -0.25) | 51.94% ( 0.25) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.65% ( -0.02) | 26.35% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.51% ( -0.03) | 61.49% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Raith Rovers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.03% Total : 44.13% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 31.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |