Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
40.81% ( -0.11) | 25.88% ( -0.04) | 33.31% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 54.13% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.92% ( 0.24) | 50.08% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.95% ( 0.22) | 72.05% ( -0.21) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.74% ( 0.05) | 24.26% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.38% ( 0.07) | 58.62% ( -0.07) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.47% ( 0.22) | 28.53% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.69% ( 0.28) | 64.31% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.81% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |