Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Raith Rovers |
38.71% ( 0.48) | 25.87% ( -0.03) | 35.41% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 54.58% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.31% ( 0.1) | 49.68% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.3% ( 0.09) | 71.7% ( -0.09) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.82% ( 0.3) | 25.18% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.09% ( 0.42) | 59.9% ( -0.42) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.95% ( -0.22) | 27.04% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.59% ( -0.28) | 62.41% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Raith Rovers |
1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.59% Total : 38.71% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.06% Total : 35.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |