Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
Arbroath4 - 2Inverness
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Arbroath and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arbroath 2-1 Ayr
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Inverness 1-1 Dunfermline
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
35.23% ( -0.09) | 25.97% ( -0.01) | 38.79% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 54.22% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
