Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 16.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match.