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Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Greenock Morton

Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Morton

McKenzie (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Strapp (49'), Oksanen (55')

The Match

Match Report

Killie suffered their first league defeat last time out.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 16.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawGreenock Morton
61.03%22.81%16.16%
Both teams to score 45.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.45%52.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.79%74.21%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.18%16.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.2%46.79%
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.57%45.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.73%81.27%
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 61.02%
    Greenock Morton 16.16%
    Draw 22.8%
KilmarnockDrawGreenock Morton
1-0 @ 13.61%
2-0 @ 12.14%
2-1 @ 9.58%
3-0 @ 7.22%
3-1 @ 5.69%
4-0 @ 3.22%
4-1 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 2.25%
5-0 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 1%
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 61.02%
1-1 @ 10.74%
0-0 @ 7.64%
2-2 @ 3.78%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 22.8%
0-1 @ 6.03%
1-2 @ 4.24%
0-2 @ 2.38%
1-3 @ 1.12%
2-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 16.16%

Head to Head
Jul 20, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Kilmarnock
1-1
Morton
Kilmarnock win 4-3 on penalties
Connell (90+1')
L (16')
McGregor (27'), Jacobs (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FalkirkFalkirk1511222891935
2Livingston148511910929
3Ayr UnitedAyr147432214825
4Partick ThistlePartick14653179823
5Queen's ParkQueen's Park156451616022
6Raith Rovers144371318-515
7Hamilton AcademicalHamilton144371925-615
8Greenock MortonMorton143561119-814
9Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline143381115-412
10AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians141211627-215


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