Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
Result | ||
Queen's Park | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
36.47% ( 0.16) | 24.88% ( 0.02) | 38.65% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 58.15% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.86% ( -0.09) | 45.14% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.52% ( -0.09) | 67.48% ( 0.09) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.68% ( 0.04) | 24.31% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.3% ( 0.06) | 58.7% ( -0.07) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.84% ( -0.13) | 23.16% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.96% ( -0.2) | 57.04% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Queen's Park | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.84% 3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 36.47% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.87% | 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.24% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 38.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 25 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 18 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 16 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 6 |
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