Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 69.2%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 12.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.