Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 51.74%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-0 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.