Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 66.24%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 13.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Arbroath |
66.24% ( -0.56) | 20.01% ( 0.28) | 13.75% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 48.19% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.31% ( -0.61) | 45.69% ( 0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.98% ( -0.59) | 68.01% ( 0.58) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.08% ( -0.34) | 12.91% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.65% ( -0.71) | 39.35% ( 0.71) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.34% ( 0.04) | 44.66% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.34% ( 0.03) | 80.66% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Arbroath |
2-0 @ 12.08% 1-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.94% Total : 66.23% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 20.01% | 0-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.31% Total : 13.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
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