Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Raith Rovers | Draw | Livingston |
42.9% ( -0.05) | 25.89% ( 0) | 31.21% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 53.35% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.25% ( 0.01) | 50.75% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.35% ( 0.01) | 72.65% ( -0) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.49% ( -0.02) | 23.51% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.46% ( -0.03) | 57.54% ( 0.03) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.75% ( 0.04) | 30.25% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.58% ( 0.04) | 66.42% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Raith Rovers | Draw | Livingston |
1-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 42.9% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 31.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |