Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 80.84%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 6.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.11%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.92%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.