Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Airdrieonians in this match.
Result | ||
Airdrieonians | Draw | Raith Rovers |
41.09% ( 0.08) | 27.31% ( 0.4) | 31.6% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 49.11% ( -1.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.74% ( -1.66) | 56.26% ( 1.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.69% ( -1.36) | 77.3% ( 1.36) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.07% ( -0.73) | 26.93% ( 0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.74% ( -0.97) | 62.26% ( 0.97) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.21% ( -1.19) | 32.79% ( 1.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.65% ( -1.35) | 69.35% ( 1.35) |
Score Analysis |
Airdrieonians | Draw | Raith Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.5) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.09% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.55) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.49% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |