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Airdrieonians
Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 11, 2024 at 5pm UK
Garscube Sports Complex - Field 3
Hearts logo

Airdrieonians
1 - 4
Hearts

Frizzell (34')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Shankland (11', 73'), Vargas (18'), Nieuwenhof (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Cup clash between Airdrieonians and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Raith Rovers 0-1 Airdrieonians
Friday, February 2 at 7.40pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: St Johnstone 0-1 Hearts
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Airdrieonians 0-2 Hearts

Sunday's tie will certainly not be a straightforward one for the Premiership high-flyers, with their visitors full of confidence in the midst of an impressive run, but Hearts have momentum of their own and will fancy themselves to come out on top and progress to the quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 54.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 22.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for an Airdrieonians win it was 1-0 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
AirdrieoniansDrawHearts
22.05% (-0.527 -0.53) 23.72% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 54.23% (0.512 0.51)
Both teams to score 52.43% (-0.728 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.74% (-0.636 -0.64)48.26% (0.637 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.59% (-0.586 -0.59)70.41% (0.58600000000001 0.59)
Airdrieonians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.7% (-0.851 -0.85)36.3% (0.851 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.92% (-0.871 -0.87)73.08% (0.873 0.87)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.3% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)17.69% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.66% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)48.34% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Airdrieonians 22.05%
    Hearts 54.23%
    Draw 23.72%
AirdrieoniansDrawHearts
1-0 @ 6.51% (0.021 0.02)
2-1 @ 5.71% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-0 @ 3.3% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.93% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.11% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 22.05%
1-1 @ 11.27% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.42% (0.167 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.72%
0-1 @ 11.12% (0.27 0.27)
1-2 @ 9.76% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 9.63% (0.222 0.22)
1-3 @ 5.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.56% (0.12 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.44% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.41% (0.049 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 54.23%

How you voted: Airdrieonians vs Hearts

Airdrieonians
3.4%
Draw
3.4%
Hearts
93.1%
29
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Fourth Round
Hearts
5-0
Airdrieonians
Irving (7'), Clare (54'), Naismith (58'), Henderson (71'), Halkett (91')
rhs 2.0
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