MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 06:54:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
Aberdeen logo
Celtic logo
Dundee logo
Dundee United
Hearts logo
Hibs logo
Kilmarnock logo
Motherwell logo
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Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
Dundee logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 24
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Hearts logo

Dundee
2 - 3
Hearts

McGhee (26'), Cameron (59')
Bakayoko (33'), Boateng (43'), McCowan (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Forrest (55'), Shankland (79' pen., 87')
Naismith (34'), Cochrane (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberdeen 1-1 Dundee
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 2-0 Aberdeen
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Dundee 0-2 Hearts

Results have been very varied between these two sides at Dens Park since Dundee's top-flight return in 2012, with the hosts 7-5 up in terms of wins in 13 meetings. However, with Hearts' current form, it is hard to look past the visitors repeating the feat of their success over Dundee last month to maintain that healthy lead in third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Dundee win was 2-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
DundeeDrawHearts
26.19% (-0.211 -0.21) 23.29% (0.131 0.13) 50.52% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 58.59% (-0.651 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.68% (-0.773 -0.77)42.32% (0.77500000000001 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.28% (-0.779 -0.78)64.72% (0.779 0.78)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.47% (-0.566 -0.57)29.52% (0.566 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46% (-0.695 -0.7)65.54% (0.697 0.7)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.14% (-0.254 -0.25)16.86% (0.256 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.12% (-0.459 -0.46)46.88% (0.46 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 26.19%
    Hearts 50.53%
    Draw 23.28%
DundeeDrawHearts
2-1 @ 6.59% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.07% (0.114 0.11)
2-0 @ 3.7% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.51% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 26.19%
1-1 @ 10.81% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.98% (0.17 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.28%
1-2 @ 9.62% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.86% (0.229 0.23)
0-2 @ 7.89% (0.138 0.14)
1-3 @ 5.71% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.68% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.48% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-4 @ 2.54% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-4 @ 2.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-5 @ 0.91% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 50.53%

How you voted: Dundee vs Hearts

Dundee
19.2%
Draw
0.0%
Hearts
80.8%
26
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Hearts
3-2
Dundee
Nieuwenhof (57'), Lembikisa (74'), Oda (86')
Lembikisa (49')
McGhee (19'), Cameron (38')
McGhee (41'), Costelloe (45+4'), Bakayoko (60'), Dodgson (65'), Main (77'), Ashcroft (79')
Aug 27, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Dundee
1-0
Hearts
McCowan (63')
Beck (39')

Oda (39')
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Hearts
1-2
Dundee
Simms (21')
Sibbick (51' og.), Mullen (78')
Adam (40'), Rudden (66'), Byrne (90+3')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 19
Dundee
0-1
Hearts

Anderson (47'), McGowan (54'), Griffiths (58'), Mullen (85')
Walker (75')
Walker (59'), Souttar (80')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Hearts
1-1
Dundee
Souttar (37')
Halkett (30'), Woodburn (34')
Cummings (83')
Legzdins (38'), Sweeney (53'), McGhee (59'), Adam (69'), Mullen (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2Aberdeen16104230181234
3RangersRangers1510232791832
4Motherwell168172226-425
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd166642519624
6St Mirren176382228-621
7Dundee165472729-219
8Kilmarnock174581834-1617
9Hibernian173682129-815
10Ross County173681333-2015
11St Johnstone1742112032-1214
12Hearts1734101826-813


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