Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Dundee win was 2-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee | Draw | Hearts |
26.19% (![]() | 23.29% (![]() | 50.52% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.59% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.68% (![]() | 42.32% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.28% (![]() | 64.72% (![]() |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.47% (![]() | 29.52% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.46% (![]() | 65.54% (![]() |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.14% (![]() | 16.86% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.12% (![]() | 46.88% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Dundee | Draw | Hearts |
2-1 @ 6.59% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.07% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.7% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.51% ( ![]() Other @ 3.24% Total : 26.19% | 1-1 @ 10.81% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.87% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.98% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.42% ( ![]() Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 9.62% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.86% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.89% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.71% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.68% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 3.2% Total : 50.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 29 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 87 | 17 | 70 | 75 |
2 | RangersRangers | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 59 |
3 | Hibernian | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 43 |
4 | Aberdeen | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 42 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 41 |
6 | Motherwell | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 37 |
7 | Hearts | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 36 |
8 | Ross County | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 35 |
9 | St Mirren | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 34 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 31 |
11 | Dundee | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 28 |
12 | St Johnstone | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 25 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |