Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Dundee win was 2-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee | Draw | Hearts |
26.19% ( -0.21) | 23.29% ( 0.13) | 50.52% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 58.59% ( -0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.68% ( -0.77) | 42.32% ( 0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.28% ( -0.78) | 64.72% ( 0.78) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.47% ( -0.57) | 29.52% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.46% ( -0.7) | 65.54% ( 0.7) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.14% ( -0.25) | 16.86% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.12% ( -0.46) | 46.88% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee | Draw | Hearts |
2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.24% Total : 26.19% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 5.71% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 2.08% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.2% Total : 50.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |