Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 24

Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK

Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park

Dundee
2 - 3
Hearts

McGhee (26'), Cameron (59')
Bakayoko (33'), Boateng (43'), McCowan (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Forrest (55'), Shankland (79' pen., 87')
Naismith (34'), Cochrane (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Aberdeen 1-1 Dundee
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Hearts 2-0 Aberdeen
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Results have been very varied between these two sides at Dens Park since Dundee's top-flight return in 2012, with the hosts 7-5 up in terms of wins in 13 meetings. However, with Hearts' current form, it is hard to look past the visitors repeating the feat of their success over Dundee last month to maintain that healthy lead in third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Dundee win was 2-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Dundee	Draw	Hearts
26.19% ( -0.21)	23.29% ( 0.13)	50.52% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 58.59% (

-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.68% (

-0.77)

42.32% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.28% (

-0.78)

64.72% (

0.78)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.47% (

-0.57)

29.52% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.46% (

-0.7)

65.54% (

0.7)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.14% (

-0.25)

16.86% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.12% (

-0.46)

46.88% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

Dundee 26.19%

Hearts 50.53%

Draw 23.28%

Dundee	Draw	Hearts
2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.24% Total : 26.19%	1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.28%	1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 5.71% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 2.08% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.2% Total : 50.53%