Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 10, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
St Mirren1 - 1Hearts
Hearts win 4-2 on penalties
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Mirren 0-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Dundee 0-6 Hearts
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Goals
for
for
34
We say: St Mirren 0-2 Hearts
We cannot look past the visitors in this match due to their fine form in recent weeks - they have been scoring goals for fun lately and we expect that trend to continue here. Despite St Mirren getting the better of Hearts in their home league fixture earlier in the season, the visitors look a much better outfit now, so they should get through this tie relatively comfortably. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 47.51%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 26.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a St Mirren win it was 1-0 (8.55%).
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
26.13% ( -0.33) | 26.36% ( 0.24) | 47.51% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.78% ( -0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.81% ( -1.13) | 55.19% ( 1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.57% ( -0.93) | 76.43% ( 0.93) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.55% ( -0.89) | 36.45% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.76% ( -0.91) | 73.24% ( 0.91) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.76% ( -0.44) | 23.24% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.85% ( -0.64) | 57.15% ( 0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
St Mirren 26.13%
Hearts 47.51%
Draw 26.36%
| St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.85% Total : 26.13% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.36% | 0-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 4.39% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 47.51% |
How you voted: St Mirren vs Hearts
St Mirren
31.9%Hearts
68.1%47
