MX23RW : Sunday, January 26 07:19:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Celtic logo
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Dundee United
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Hibs logo
Kilmarnock logo
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Ross County
St Johnstone logo
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Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 24
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Kilmarnock logo

Hearts
3 - 2
Kilmarnock

Kabangu (7'), McCart (58'), Grant (61')
Grant (45+5'), Boateng (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wales (50'), Murray (67')
Deas (42'), Magennis (45+3'), Watkins (45+5'), Armstrong (54'), Watson (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brechin 1-4 Hearts
Friday, January 17 at 7.45pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Celtic 2-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, January 18 at 5.30pm in Scottish Cup

We said: Hearts 2-0 Kilmarnock

Hearts are coming into this one in much greater form than their opposition, remaining undefeated in their last five, and we expect that streak to continue with a win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 16.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawKilmarnock
61.61% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06) 21.57% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 16.81% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.43% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.5% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)46.5% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.22% (-0.012 -0.01)68.78% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.43% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)14.57% (0.025 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.37% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)42.62% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.02% (0.042000000000002 0.04)40.97% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.46% (0.036999999999999 0.04)77.53% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 61.6%
    Kilmarnock 16.81%
    Draw 21.56%
HeartsDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 11.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.43% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.36%
5-0 @ 1.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 61.6%
1-1 @ 10.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.97% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 21.56%
0-1 @ 5.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.58% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.38% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.36% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.31% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 16.81%

How you voted: Hearts vs Kilmarnock

Hearts
93.3%
Draw
3.3%
Kilmarnock
3.3%
30
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 17
Kilmarnock
1-0
Hearts
Anderson (18' pen.)
Murray (85')
Deas (6')

Penrice (16'), Rowles (45+7')
Oct 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Hearts
1-2
Kilmarnock
Forrest (44')
Penrice (87')
Kennedy (58'), Vassell (63')
Vassell (52'), Kennedy (65'), Watkins (77')
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Kilmarnock
0-0
Hearts
Mayo (36'), Wright (44'), Donnelly (61'), Findlay (89')
Mar 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Hearts
1-1
Kilmarnock
Vargas (10')
Kent (27'), Cochrane (65')
Watkins (67')
Armstrong (28'), Deas (63')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Kilmarnock
0-1
Hearts

Dennis (40'), Watson (68')
Dennis (18' og.)
Nieuwenhof (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic23193164115360
2RangersRangers23145444182647
3Dundee UnitedDundee Utd2310763124737
4Aberdeen2410593236-435
5Motherwell2494112939-1031
6Hibernian247983537-230
7St Mirren2493123038-830
8Dundee2376103741-427
9Hearts2476112833-527
10Ross County2468102443-1926
11Kilmarnock2467112740-1325
12St Johnstone2453162748-2118


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