Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
40.04% ( -0.1) | 25.53% ( 0.04) | 34.43% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 55.58% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.67% ( -0.16) | 48.33% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.52% ( -0.15) | 70.47% ( 0.15) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.12% ( -0.12) | 23.87% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.93% ( -0.18) | 58.06% ( 0.17) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.01% ( -0.04) | 26.98% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.66% ( -0.06) | 62.33% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.61% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 40.04% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 47 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
8 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |