Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in Scottish League One
for
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
for
We said: Queen of the South 0-2 St Mirren
Despite their recent Scottish Premiership struggles, St Mirren should have the quality to get past their third-tier hosts on Saturday and book their fifth-round spot. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | St Mirren |
30.84% ( -0.09) | 24.85% ( 0.01) | 44.31% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.63% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.59% ( -0.08) | 46.41% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.31% ( -0.08) | 68.69% ( 0.08) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.69% ( -0.1) | 28.31% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.96% ( -0.12) | 64.04% ( 0.12) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79% ( -0) | 21% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.23% ( -0) | 53.77% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 30.84% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.75% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.86% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.47% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 44.31% |
