Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 54.07%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
Result | ||
Airdrieonians | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
54.07% (![]() | 22.54% (![]() | 23.39% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.08% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.4% (![]() | 41.59% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36% (![]() | 63.99% (![]() |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.64% (![]() | 15.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.87% (![]() | 44.13% (![]() |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.61% (![]() | 31.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.24% (![]() | 67.75% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Airdrieonians | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.8% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.03% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.46% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.12% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.28% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.55% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.82% Total : 54.07% | 1-1 @ 10.46% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.68% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.82% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.53% | 1-2 @ 6.06% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.59% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.24% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 2.72% Total : 23.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 54 |
2 | Cove Rangers | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 49 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 49 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 41 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 39 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 37 |
7 | Montrose | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 33 |
9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 30 |
10 | Dumbarton | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 10 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |