Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 54.07%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
Result | ||
Airdrieonians | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
54.07% ( 0.11) | 22.54% ( 0.12) | 23.39% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 58.08% ( -0.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.4% ( -0.81) | 41.59% ( 0.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36% ( -0.83) | 63.99% ( 0.83) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.64% ( -0.25) | 15.36% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.87% ( -0.47) | 44.13% ( 0.47) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.61% ( -0.64) | 31.38% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.24% ( -0.75) | 67.75% ( 0.75) |
Score Analysis |
Airdrieonians | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 54.07% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.53% | 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 23.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cove Rangers | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
2 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Arbroath | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 17 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Montrose | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 13 |
9 | Dumbarton | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | -2 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |