Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 54.07%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.