Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 56.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 20.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Peterhead win it was 1-0 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterhead | Draw | Airdrieonians |
20.86% ( 1.8) | 22.51% ( 1.72) | 56.63% ( -3.51) |
Both teams to score 54.63% ( -2.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.49% ( -5.23) | 44.51% ( 5.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.12% ( -5.26) | 66.88% ( 5.27) |
Peterhead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.66% ( -1.21) | 35.34% ( 1.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.9% ( -1.28) | 72.09% ( 1.28) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.49% ( -2.81) | 15.51% ( 2.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.58% ( -5.52) | 44.42% ( 5.53) |
Score Analysis |
Peterhead | Draw | Airdrieonians |
1-0 @ 5.7% ( 1.04) 2-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.46) 3-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.93% Total : 20.86% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( 1.01) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 1.15) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.51% | 0-1 @ 10.21% ( 1.27) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.52% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 6.15% ( -0.68) 0-3 @ 5.91% ( -0.44) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.47) 1-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.66) 0-4 @ 2.75% ( -0.52) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.4) 1-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.39) 0-5 @ 1.03% ( -0.33) Other @ 2.53% Total : 56.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |