MX23RW : Saturday, March 29 14:28:04| >> :60:389:389:
Alloa Athletic
Scottish Challenge Cup | Fourth Round
Dec 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Indodrill Stadium
Queen of the South

Alloa
2 - 4
QotS

King (15'), Cawley (39')
Graham (69')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Connelly (3', 78' pen.), McKenna (49'), Todd (82')
Irving (33')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Fourth Round clash between Alloa Athletic and Queen of the South.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montrose 0-0 Alloa
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Dunfermline 1-1 QotS
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Alloa AthleticDrawQueen of the South
45.53% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 24.17% (0.0030000000000001 0) 30.3% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.67% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)43.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)19.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.91% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)51.08% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Queen of the South Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)27.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.28% (0.0039999999999978 0)62.71% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Alloa Athletic 45.53%
    Queen of the South 30.3%
    Draw 24.16%
Alloa AthleticDrawQueen of the South
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.66%
2-0 @ 7.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 45.53%
1-1 @ 11.25%
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 5.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.16%
1-2 @ 7.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.6%
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 30.3%

How you voted: Alloa vs QotS

Alloa Athletic
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
Queen of the South
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Alloa
5-1
QotS
Maciver (44'), Church (62'), Stanger (65'), Offord (67', 84')
Reilly (2')
Paton (30')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
QotS
1-1
Alloa
Reilly (42')
Church (88')
(60')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
QotS
2-3
Alloa
Mebude (11'), East (37')
Gibson (15')
Obileye (45+1'), McCabe (85')
Murray (20'), Connelly (44'), Buchanan (77')
Robertson (32'), Connelly (48'), Murray (85'), Graham (90+1')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Alloa
2-1
QotS
Graham (23'), Cawley (61')
Hetherington (6'), Robertson (58'), Grant (69')
Jones (8')
Pybus (81')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
QotS
2-0
Alloa
Dobbie (38'), McKee (46')
Pybus (57'), Shields (63'), Fitzpatrick (63')

Robertson (39'), Hetherington (86')
rhs 2.0
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