Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 37.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
38.16% ( -2) | 24.79% ( -0.09) | 37.06% ( 2.08) |
Both teams to score 58.55% ( 0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.35% ( 0.61) | 44.65% ( -0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.99% ( 0.59) | 67.01% ( -0.59) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.81% ( -0.73) | 23.2% ( 0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.91% ( -1.09) | 57.09% ( 1.09) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.23% ( 1.43) | 23.77% ( -1.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.07% ( 2.02) | 57.93% ( -2.02) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.4) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.43) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.18% Total : 38.16% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.29) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.26) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.16) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.06% Total : 37.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |