Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.