Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Alloa Athletic in this match.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
46.08% ( -0.06) | 24.26% ( -0.01) | 29.66% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 57.99% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.66% ( 0.07) | 44.34% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.29% ( 0.07) | 66.71% ( -0.07) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.62% ( 0) | 19.38% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.81% ( 0) | 51.19% ( -0) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.93% ( 0.08) | 28.07% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.27% ( 0.1) | 63.73% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.09% 4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 46.08% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.91% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 29.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |