Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 51.47%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.