Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.