Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Airdrieonians |
37.57% ( 0.47) | 25.45% ( 0.12) | 36.98% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 56.16% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.29% ( -0.55) | 47.71% ( 0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.09% ( -0.51) | 69.91% ( 0.51) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.1% ( 0) | 24.89% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.49% ( 0.01) | 59.51% ( -0) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.78% ( -0.57) | 25.22% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.04% ( -0.8) | 59.96% ( 0.8) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Airdrieonians |
1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.8% Total : 37.57% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.74% Total : 36.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 17 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |