Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 66.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 14.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.87%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Peterhead win it was 1-0 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Dunfermline Athletic in this match.
Result | ||
Peterhead | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
14.09% ( 1.8) | 19.58% ( 1.24) | 66.32% ( -3.05) |
Both teams to score 50.5% ( 1.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.91% ( -1.35) | 43.08% ( 1.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.52% ( -1.35) | 65.48% ( 1.35) |
Peterhead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.46% ( 1.92) | 42.53% ( -1.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.1% ( 1.6) | 78.89% ( -1.61) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.89% ( -1.21) | 12.11% ( 1.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.32% ( -2.6) | 37.67% ( 2.6) |
Score Analysis |
Peterhead | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.29) 3-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.18) Other @ 1.51% Total : 14.09% | 1-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.59) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.28) Other @ 0.94% Total : 19.58% | 0-2 @ 11.47% ( -0.43) 0-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 8.08% ( -0.71) 1-3 @ 6.91% ( -0.22) 0-4 @ 4.26% ( -0.61) 1-4 @ 3.65% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.06) 0-5 @ 1.8% ( -0.36) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.54% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.42% Total : 66.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |