Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 60.54%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 19.87% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.75%) and 3-1 (7.22%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (5.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.